27 June 2015
At the 5th Annual General Conference of the European Political Science
Association I had the opportunity to present a paper entitled “The
Crisis of Social Democracy and the Political Demobilisation of the
Working Class in Germany”. In this paper I
analyse the dual decline of turnout in Germany and of the support for
the German Social Democratic Party (SPD). I show that both changes are
linked and concentrated in a core group of SPD supporters, the manual
working class.
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12 June 2015
At the Session of the AK “Wahlen und politische Einstellungen (the
German specialist group on election, electoral behaviour and political
attitudes) I had the opportunity to present a paper on split-ticket
voting in Germany. In this paper I find that there is more strategic
voting in the direct candidate votes than in the list votes, but that
most split-ticket voting appears to be non-strategic.
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05 June 2015
In Berlin, at the Manifesto Project User Conference I presented a paper
entitled “Challenges in Tracking Parties’ Positions in
Multi-dimensional Policy Spaces by Manifesto Project data: A Dynamic
Idealpoint Model and its Extensions”. In this
paper I discuss way of reconstructing political positions from coded
political texts based on an idealpoint model (introduced in a
publication of mine in Political Analysis) as well as some extension
of this model that address some challenges, such as different acuity of
political aims.
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07 March 2015
Version 0.97 of package memisc has been released
to CRAN.
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05 November 2014
A chapter on estimation techniques has appeared in the edited volume
Regression Analysis and Causal Inference, edited by Henning Best
and Christof Wolf and published by Sage. A companion website is here.
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05 November 2014
Estimates (or more correctly: predictions) of parties’ positions in
multiple dimensions in different countries, spanning the decades from
1945 (1920 for the USA) to 2010 is now available
here on my website.
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